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The Myth of Option Expiry
By Guy Bower

I recently read the following statement on a website that sells an expensive option trading system:

70% of options expire worthless to the buyer! That means 70% expire profitable to the seller. Garbage! Unbelievable garbage! Absolutely unbelievable garbage! The logic in this statement is just plain incorrect and of course the website does not have statistics to back their claim.

To be fair this website was not the only place I have come across a statement like this. I have in fact seen a figure of up to 90% quoted. However even if it is a common belief does not make it correct. Let's first have a think about the logic, then let's look at some stats and come to some real conclusions.

Pro...
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TD Executive Officer to Exercise Options
TD Bank Financial Group announced today that Bharat Masrani, Group Head U.S. Personal and Commercial Banking and President & CEO TD Bank, America's Most Convenient Bank, advised of his intention to exercise approximately 61,000 options for TD common shares, which represent approximately 8.5 percent of his outstanding options. Read More ...

Stampede Into Bullish Speculation At Yahoo, Green Mountain Coffee
Options players bet on a revival of Yahoo's lowly shares and a run to more new highs for Green Mountain. Read More ...

Options Bulls Bursting Into Teva, Cree, Expedia
Some especially bullish players see Teva above $60. Cree bulls have high hopes, too. Read More ...

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